Dozens of companies have been relying on the Peter Meier Forecasting Model for years
What are the advantages of our forecasting?
Early recognition of economic turning points: The key finding of the hpo forecast approach is that the economy has similar characteristics as an oscillating system. This approach and the understanding of critical non-linear relationships in the real economy made it possible to forecast all major economic crises since the late 1990s.
Specific industry focus: hpo maintains well over 100 industry forecast models worldwide. It gives us an excellent overview of the real economy dynamics in all major markets and allows us to understand how changes in economic indicators affect different industries.
Company-specific forecasts of incoming orders: The model is configurated individually for each company to allow forecasts on the level of sole proprietorships or their divisions.
Scientifically sound and empirically proven mathematical forecast model: Order intake forecasts are based on the mathematical Peter Meier Forecasting Model. On the basis of this model, the last three major crises (dot-com bubble in 2001/ financial crisis in 2008 and latest crisis 2019/2020) as well as other less grave economic fluctuations, were predicted at an early stage.
Quarterly forecast updates: Forecasts are updated by hpo forecasting experts every three months and delivered to customers electronically.
What are the benefits for your company?
Increased planning security: Reliable forecasts of incoming orders can be used as a basis for capacity planning, investment risk assessment, and other strategic management and board level decisions.
Independent second opinion on your company’s order estimates: Company sales teams know the market very well, but their predictions may be influenced by personal Sales successes or failures in the recent past. hpo forecasting offers an independent second opinion. The prediction of economic watersheds is a unique selling point.
Benchmark: For all customers, we create a benchmark of how the company's incoming orders compare with those in the industry. This simple graph alone is a real eye-opener for many customers, since the historical development of this data is rarely systematically collected and observed.
Regular exchange of information with the hpo forecasting team: We are available to our customers at any time for personal meetings, if they have any questions or wish to discuss the economic trend or adequate measures, also at their own premises.