For economic forecasts for the industry, hpo forecasting relies on the Peter Meier Forecasting Model, named after its founder. The ETH engineer and former CEO of the machine tool manufacturer Starrag AG is the spiritual father of the model used today. It is scientifically based and empirically tested. It was developed with the aim of using a rule-based approach to forecast the often very volatile order intake of industrial companies (capital goods and durable consumer goods).
While most economic researchers focus on general forecasts of economic growth or on the development of the financial markets, hpo forecasting concentrates on the dynamics in the real economy. The focus is particularly on cyclical demand in the capital goods industry. Unlike developments in the financial markets, demand for machinery and other industrial goods is much less influenced by psychological effects - and can therefore be forecast more reliably with suitable models. The prerequisite for this is an understanding of the essential real economic relationships. This is precisely the strength of the Peter Meier Forecasting Model, which is used exclusively by hpo forecasting. It is a unique and very powerful instrument.
The forecasts are always put into the economic and political context by hpo and commented on. For this reason, hpo's forecasting experts are much sought-after speakers at conferences of industry associations, trade events or at management meetings.