Publications

02/2023 – Report

Top 100 largest machine tool manufacturers worldwide

The machine tool industry is a competitive market, with many companies vying for a share of sales. The top-selling ...

02/2023 – Economic commentary

hpo economic commentary, 1st quarter 2023

How robust is the economy in 2023? “Not as bad as feared!” These were the words used by European Central Bank President ...

11/2022 – Economic commentary

hpo economic commentary, 4th quarter 2022

How long will the coming crisis last? The latest economic figures confirm the hypothesis already formulated by hpo ...

08/2022 – Economic commentary

hpo economic commentary, 3nd quarter 2022

Has the peak of demand in the industry already passed? Order intake in the engineering sector is still high. Wages are ...

05/2022 – Economic commentary

hpo economic commentary, 2nd quarter 2022

Great volatility and uncertainity in a large number of markets due to the concentration of incisive events The events of ...

02/2022 – Economic commentary

hpo economic commentary, 1st quarter 2022

After catching up, demand in most segments has plateaued at a high level Many states are announcing their reduction of ...

11/2021 – Economic commentary

Global car production approx. 20% below expected level due to chip crisis

Disrupted supply chains have been the dominant topic in the industry for about a year now. The effects of this are ...

08/2021 – Economic commentary

The last major Corona stimulus program in the US ends in September

Consumption in the US remains of great importance for the global economy with crucial months ahead. Until 6 September ...

08/2021 – Lecture

Swissmem Symposium 2021

The 19th edition of the Swissmem Symposium on August 26, 2021 focused on the topic "Decoupling - risks and opportunities ...

05/2021 – Economic commentary

We are experiencing a strong boom in the industrial sector

In the past hpo economic commentaries we announced extraordinary volatility in demand for capital goods in 2021. We ...

02/2021 – Economic commentary

Changes in consumption result in fundamental substitution effects

Demand for consumer durables in the U. S. is booming.The consumption cycle is the long-term pacemaker of the real ...

11/2020 – Economic commentary

Consumption growth has declined sharply following a brief recovery after the lockdown

High retail sales in summer thanks to catch-up effects.There was a great relief when retail sales rapidly recoveredafter ...

08/2020 – Lecture

Swissmem Symposium 2020

The 18th edition of the Swissmem Symposium on August 27, 2020 focused on the topic "The challenge of decarbonization - ...

08/2020 – Economic commentary

Consumption is recovering rapidly, but the crisis is not yet over

Weak demand for durable consumer goods with devastating consequences for the capital goods industry.In April, 1.43 ...

05/2020 – Economic commentary

The COVID-19 decline is severe, but the long-term forecasts by hpo remain unchanged

The long-term real economic cycles show a negative development.In July 2019, Peter Meier and Josua Burkart of hpo ...

05/2020 – Podcast

Josua Burkart talks about the stability of our forecasts and what is next for our economy.

Josua Burkart explains why hpo's long-term forecasts are still valid despite the massive distortions caused by corona. ...

04/2020 – Interview

Interview Technische Rundschau 2020 (in German)

Josua Burkart talks about the Corona crisis and why the global economy was unstable earlier.

03/2020 – Economic commentary

Is the coronavirus the trigger of a global economic crisis?

hpo forecasting on the current development of the global economy.Looking back to the present situation in a few years, ...

02/2020 – Economic commentary

Leading indicators give rise to hope, but the subdued outlook has not changed significantly

Slowing dynamics in the real economy despite a short breather.The outbreak of the novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) is ...

01/2020 – Podcast

Josua Burkart on the forecast model and the economic outlook 2020

Josua Burkart talks about the impending economic crisis and explains how the hpo forecast model can be used to simulate ...

11/2019 – Economic commentary

Industrial production is declining in all regions of the world, particularly Europe and Asia

Industrial production and consumption will lose momentum in all regions of the world by 2020.The decline in industrial ...

10/2019 – Newspaper article

Report Technische Rundschau Swissmem Symposium 2019 (in German)

Impact on the Swiss MEM sector. Conclusion: Stormy times ahead.

09/2019 – Economic commentary

Strong US/EU consumption still supports the economy

The signs of a broad economic decline are intensifying.For quite some time now, hpo forecasting has been predicting the ...

09/2019 – Newspaper article

NZZ report recession fears also driving Switzerland (in German)

An article in the renowned Swiss newspaper Neue Zürcher Zeitung (NZZ) about recession fears.

08/2019 – Lecture

Swissmem Symposium 2019

The 17th edition of the Swissmem Symposium on August 29, 2019 was dedicated to the topic "MEM industries in transition". ...

08/2019 – Report

ECO-Report

Josua Burkart was interviewed on the Swiss television programm ECO, broadcasted on August 28th, 2019. The topic of the ...

07/2019 – Interview

Interview Technische Rundschau 2019 (in German)

The Peter Meier Forecasting Model is considered a top product in the capital goods sector: very reliable and absolutely ...

06/2019 – Event

Book launch, 18 June 2019

More than 20 years ago, Peter Meier’s research showed that the economy behaves similarly to an oscillating system. Since ...

06/2019 – Economic commentary

The prospects of an economic crisis are increasing

Here are 4 reasons why hpo forecasting comes to this conclusion.According to hpo forecasting, what are the four reasons ...

03/2019 – Economic commentary

How are the economic indicators changing?

Industrial production in Europe remains far below expectations.US sentiment indicators have declined: The euphoric ...

01/2019 – Podcast

Josua Burkart on the forecast model and the economic outlook for 2019

Josua Burkart gives an insight into the possibilities and boundaries of the hpo forecasting model, why the comparison to ...

06/2018 – Brochure

Brochure hpo forecasting

05/2018 – Newspaper article

NZZ report when will we face the next crisis?

An article in the renowned Swiss newspaper Neue Zürcher Zeitung (NZZ) about the next economic crisis.